The final net goes down Monday night for the men’s college hoops season. Based on the odds, it’s safe to say that most punters had this match on their betting slips.
Yet, here we are.
of San Diego State Aztecs (32-6) fights UConn Huskies (30-8) by NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament National Championship Game in Houston.
The Huskies are seeking their fifth national championship in men’s basketball and first since 2014, while the Aztecs are one win away from the school’s first national title — in either men’s or women’s basketball.
Whoever wins, tonight is the last chance of the season for college basketball players to get in the playoffs. Fox bet.
To give those gamblers some insight into the game, Fox Sports betting experts Chris “Bear” Fallica, Sam “Sammy P” Panayotovich; Jason McIntyre And Jeff Schwartz Here they are with their insights and preferences. Let’s dive into how they fight in the big game.
Title game odds
Number 5 San Diego State Compared to number 4 Yukon (9:20 p.m. ET, CBS)
Point Distribution: Yukon -7.5 (UConn is favored to win by more than 7.5 points, otherwise San Diego State will cover)
Money Line: UConn -345 favorite to win (Bet $10 to win a total of $12.90); San Diego State +250 underdog to win (Bet $10 to win a total of $35)
Total Score Over/Under: Both groups scored 132.5 points
Chris ‘Bear’ Falka
First, I want to remind people that Connecticut is just like the Big East record Providence (13-7, tied for fourth). Yes, amazing, isn’t it? I won’t be, and I’ll put Connecticut on the money line (-345 at Fox betBet $10 to win a total of $12.90), but I really expect the Huskies to win the game.
However, sitting north of seven points seems a bit risky, even though Connecticut is the dominant team in the tourney so far.
Since 1985, only seven title games have been won by seven points or more., And those favorites have gone just 2-5 against the spread (ATS), losing three straight (SU).
While I don’t expect the Huskies to lose, I’m not sure I want to put the points down. I actually expect this game to be close at halftime., And think that a halftime bet on the Huskies is probably the best bet one can make.
So, in terms of pregame betting, I like the Aztecs +4.5 points and under 61 combined points in the first half.
San Diego State has trailed at halftime in its last two games and has allowed opponents to shoot 54 percent. The Aztecs tightened things up in the second half, but I could really see them trying to slow down the pace and play the same type of defense they did in the second half. Cretan And Florida Atlantic From Monday.
If they don’t, it’s going to be a long night. But I’ll wait a bit to see if they can get +5 or 61.5 because I don’t expect the numbers to drop.
Select: At FOX Bet, he was under 61 points in the first half
Select: San Diego State (+4.5 First Half at FOX Bet) to lead by 4.5 points or less (or actually lead) at halftime
Sam ‘Sammy P’ Panayotovich
I haven’t gotten ahead of UConn in this race yet, and I don’t want to start now. The spread is a bit heavy, but trust me, there isn’t much appetite to bet against the Huskies here.
They were. put off Groups.
Wins by 24, 15, 23, 28 and 13 points — not to mention five straight shutouts — are proof that UConn can come up big and kick your ass. This run reminds me a lot. North Carolina In the year In 2009 when the Tar Heels shut out every team in sight. Blake Griffin and the Oklahoma Sooners UNC gave the biggest “scare” in the Elite Eight and still lost by 12 points.
Fast forward to Monday night and UConn is a 7.5-point favorite over San Diego State at most sportsbooks, with odds of 130.5 to 132.5 overall. I always respect that kind of movement out of the gate, but this game still has all the physical fights on both ends.
Both teams play stifling defense, and the best part of San Diego State’s style is that the Aztecs get away with offensive turnovers. They do not send many men to the offensive mirror, which, in turn, reduces the chances of transition in another way.
There’s a reason Brian Dutchman’s club won 12 straight Unders before Saturday’s over. Florida Atlantic.
San Diego State is holding five of its opponents to a combined 60 points per game, while UConn is the lowest at 59.2. If these defenses play the way they’ve been playing of late, I think the title game will end around 66-58.
was a Nice little 10-6 run It’s March Madness for us, and I’m OK with betting on elite defenses and shooting the Under.
Select: Under 132.5 points for both teams at FOX Bet.
Connecticut is coming off a double-digit win over San Diego State, and I’m giving you permission to admit this before tonight. I know it’s more fun to watch a close game, and the lowly Aztecs are a fascinating story, but those stories end against opponents like the Huskies.
UConn enters the postseason ranked fourth in KenPom and has not lost a game outside of the Big East this season. The team is coming off a loss in non-conference play, and we know the Huskies are undefeated in the last three weeks. They won all five tournament games by at least double digits, averaging 18.6 points. Their offense is built like an NBA team. You shoot three shots at the rim or make attempts.
While San Diego State is a solid defensive team around the rim, I’m not sure the Aztecs have enough defense to stop either way the Huskies score. The Aztecs are ranked 68th in the nation offensively coming into this game, which isn’t good enough against the eighth-ranked Huskies defense. San Diego State struggles to make their foul shots at times, and that should concern Aztecs ticket holders.
I’ll keep it simple and put the points against the Huskies here.
Select: UConn (-7.5 at FOX Bet) to win by more than 7.5 points
The Aztecs won their race Florida AtlanticA game where you have traveled up to 28 consecutive minutes Lamont Butler Hit the game winning shot.
The Aztecs (32-6) beat great offensive teams (AlabamaHigh Defense Teams (Cretan) and four out of five NCAA Men’s Tournament Wins are by seven points or less.
The Yukon, on the other hand, is moving into historic territory and destroying everything in its path. The only kryptonite for the Huskies (30-8) is playing close games.
They are 1-5 in limited games by six points or less. How do you find them in the latest game? Market He met them twice and Xavier Once, and the common denominator in those statistical profiles is a top-10 offense.
San Diego State is not a strong offensive team despite scoring 72 points against FAU and 71 against Alabama. They want to play terrific defense on the perimeter, run the shot clock, shoot the ball inside and crash the offensive boards.
The Huskies excel in all three aspects, hitting nine or more 3-pointers in every contest game and dominating the interior. Adam Sanogo (21 points, 10 rebounds vs. Miami). Behind him is a 7-foot-2 freshman. Donovan ClinganOffenses should matter.
If I were defending UConn, that’s the guy I’d want to avoid. Jordan Hawkins, their most talented player and the only potential lottery pick on the roster. His 3-point ability helps get Sanogo open inside. Hawkins held five points in a win over the Marquette Huskies; He had eight points in another loss.
Matt Bradley He is a man for the job. The 23-year-old guard, in his fifth season, is excellent defensively, and has proven he can win without scoring (see Creighton and Alabama).
The way to bet is to take Bradley under 12.5 points, because he plays tough defense and is likely to cause foul trouble, even though he has only been fouled in one game over the last two seasons.
The player proposal I see at SDSU is point guard. Darion Trammell To go over 9.5 points. Quick point guards have given the Huskies problems this season, and the shooting volume should be for Trammell in the win over Alabama (and Cretin, too).
If this game is in the 70s, SDSU will be in trouble. to the They scored over 132.5 combined points. (as if Fox bet). If you don’t want to hold 7.5 points in a title game, there are several ways to attack the game.
Select: Both teams score over 132.5 points on FOX Bet
Select: Teaser: UConn -2 and more than 127 combined points
Looking to bet on the big game? Be sure to move forward Fox bet To get in on tonight’s betting action for the championship game!
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